Areas › Weekly market › 2026-W44
UAE residential market, week 2026-W44 (26 Oct – 1 Nov 2026)
Data: Dubai sales to 2026-11-01, Abu Dhabi to 2026-10-30 (registration date). Last three months = Aug–Oct 2026 (Nov is added from the 25th).
Key points
- Dubai: prices -0.7% year on year (0.0% over three months), residential sales -43% year on year (off-plan -48%, completed homes -28%); areas in correction or washout account for 12% of sales.
- Abu Dhabi: prices +7.7% year on year (+1.4% over three months), residential sales +12% year on year (off-plan +19%, completed homes -10%); areas in correction or washout account for 0% of sales.
- Off-plan apartments sell above completed ones in the same area with the same bedrooms: Dubai +35%, Abu Dhabi +30% per sq ft (last 12 months).
- Macro backdrop: neutral (pressure score 44.8/100); 3-month EIBOR 4.30%.
Correction to last week (2026-W43)
In 2026-W43 the year-on-year change in residential sales was skewed by a month-end counting error: October 2026 (to the 25th) was compared with all of October 2025. Cutting the year-earlier month at the same day, Dubai is about -41%, not -46% (off-plan -45%, not -50%; completed homes -27%, not -34%), and Abu Dhabi about +8%, not -1% (off-plan +13%, not +4%; completed homes -11%, not -18%). Price changes are not affected. Fixed from the 2026-10-27 analysis. 2026-W43 →
Areas to watch
- Living Legends (Dubai): the mix-adjusted price index is up 14.9% year on year, the largest rise among busy areas (203 sales in three months).
- Dubai Healthcare City Phase 2 (Dubai): the mix-adjusted price index is down 9.0% year on year, the largest fall among busy areas (112 sales in three months).
- International City (Phase 1) (Dubai): apartments under 50 m² yield 8.6% gross (median rent AED 30,000, median price AED 350,000), the highest among busy Dubai areas.
- Khalifa City (Abu Dhabi): off-plan apartments sell 23.9% below completed ones with the same bedrooms (per sq ft), the smallest gap among busy areas (new launches priced below existing homes).
- Al Maryah Island (Abu Dhabi): studio and 1-bed apartments yield 7.2% and 7.9% gross (ADREC published average rents and prices, 2026-09), the highest among busy Abu Dhabi areas.
By emirate
| Emirate | Areas | Price y/y | Price 3m | Sales y/y | Avg stress |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dubai | 106 | -0.7% | 0.0% | -43% | 33.9 |
| Abu Dhabi | 24 | +7.7% | +1.4% | +12% | 24.1 |
Highest market stress
| Area | Emirate | Phase | Stress | AED / sq ft | Price 3m | Sales y/y |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dubailand (Wadi Al Safa 4) | Dubai | Cooling | 57.2 | 1,812 | -1.3% | -74% |
| Falcon City Of Wonders | Dubai | Capitulation (washout) | 56.7 | 1,541 | -7.2% | -68% |
| Dubai Science Park | Dubai | Correction | 54.4 | 1,859 | -4.1% | -92% |
| Nad Al Shiba First | Dubai | Capitulation (washout) | 53.8 | 2,157 | -5.0% | -59% |
| Al Wasl | Dubai | Cooling | 52.5 | 3,136 | +0.4% | -72% |
| Jaddaf Waterfront | Dubai | Cooling | 51.5 | 1,811 | -1.3% | -84% |
| Dubailand (Wadi Al Safa 2 / Dubailand Oasis) | Dubai | Cooling | 51.4 | 1,329 | +9.2% | -74% |
| Trade Center First | Dubai | Correction | 50.9 | 3,997 | -4.8% | -87% |
| Dubai Water Canal | Dubai | Correction | 50.7 | 3,129 | -6.5% | -56% |
| Bluewaters | Dubai | Correction | 50.6 | 4,307 | -18.4% | -41% |
Strongest 3-month price momentum (mix-adjusted)
- Al Samhah (Abu Dhabi): +16.1% over 3 months, 44 sales
- Mirdif (Dubai): +12.8% over 3 months, 36 sales
- Saih Shuaib 1 (Dubai): +12.0% over 3 months, 66 sales
- Al Reef (Abu Dhabi): +8.8% over 3 months, 92 sales
- International City (Phase 2 & 3) (Dubai): +8.4% over 3 months, 325 sales
- Al Maryah Island (Abu Dhabi): +6.8% over 3 months, 151 sales
- Dubai Silicon Oasis (Dubai): +4.5% over 3 months, 157 sales
- Al Bahyah (Abu Dhabi): +4.5% over 3 months, 325 sales
Related
Sources: Dubai Land Department (DLD Open Data; Dubai sales before 2026 via the CC BY 4.0 republication by Dubai Real Estate Data, dubairealestatedata.com), Ejari rent contracts, Abu Dhabi Real Estate Centre (ADREC), FRED, New York Fed, US Treasury. Residential (apartment and villa) sales only; cells with fewer than 5 sales are hidden. Information only, not investment advice. Methodology