Areas › Weekly market › 2026-W43
Correction (2026-10-26) In 2026-W43 the year-on-year change in residential sales was skewed by a month-end counting error: October 2026 (to the 25th) was compared with all of October 2025. Cutting the year-earlier month at the same day, Dubai is about -41%, not -46% (off-plan -45%, not -50%; completed homes -27%, not -34%), and Abu Dhabi about +8%, not -1% (off-plan +13%, not +4%; completed homes -11%, not -18%). Price changes are not affected. Fixed from the 2026-10-27 analysis.
UAE residential market, week 2026-W43 (19 Oct – 25 Oct 2026)
Key points
- Dubai: prices -0.7% year on year (0.0% over three months), residential sales -46% year on year (off-plan -50%, completed homes -34%); areas in correction or washout account for 13% of sales.
- Abu Dhabi: prices +7.7% year on year (+1.4% over three months), residential sales -1% year on year (off-plan +4%, completed homes -18%); areas in correction or washout account for 0% of sales.
- Off-plan apartments sell above completed ones in the same area with the same bedrooms: Dubai +36%, Abu Dhabi +30% per sq ft (last 12 months).
- Macro backdrop: tightening (pressure score 47.2/100); 3-month EIBOR 4.45%.
Areas to watch
- Living Legends (Dubai): the mix-adjusted price index is up 14.9% year on year, the largest rise among busy areas (186 sales in three months).
- Dubai Healthcare City Phase 2 (Dubai): the mix-adjusted price index is down 8.6% year on year, the largest fall among busy areas (105 sales in three months).
- International City (Phase 1) (Dubai): apartments under 50 m² yield 8.6% gross (median rent AED 30,000, median price AED 350,000), the highest among busy Dubai areas.
- Al Maryah Island (Abu Dhabi): off-plan apartments sell 24.3% below completed ones with the same bedrooms (per sq ft), the smallest gap among busy areas (new launches priced below existing homes).
- Khalifa City (Abu Dhabi): studio and 1-bed apartments yield 8.6% and 6.5% gross (ADREC published average rents and prices, 2026-09), the highest among busy Abu Dhabi areas.
By emirate
| Emirate | Areas | Price y/y | Price 3m | Sales y/y | Avg stress |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dubai | 103 | -0.7% | 0.0% | -46% | 35.0 |
| Abu Dhabi | 24 | +7.7% | +1.4% | -1% | 24.8 |
Highest market stress
| Area | Emirate | Phase | Stress | AED / sq ft | Price 3m | Sales y/y |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Falcon City Of Wonders | Dubai | Capitulation (washout) | 56.8 | 1,540 | -7.3% | -70% |
| Al Jaddaf | Dubai | Cooling | 56.1 | 1,829 | +2.9% | -88% |
| Nad Al Shiba First | Dubai | Capitulation (washout) | 55.4 | 2,152 | -5.3% | -62% |
| Dubai Science Park | Dubai | Correction | 54.4 | 1,869 | -4.0% | -92% |
| Al Wasl | Dubai | Cooling | 53.5 | 3,136 | +0.7% | -73% |
| Dubailand (Wadi Al Safa 3) | Dubai | Correction | 52.9 | 1,630 | -6.2% | -20% |
| Jaddaf Waterfront | Dubai | Cooling | 52.9 | 1,935 | -0.2% | -83% |
| Mbr District 7 | Dubai | Correction | 52.8 | 1,565 | -17.2% | -46% |
| Dubai Healthcare City Phase 2 | Dubai | Capitulation (washout) | 51.8 | 1,698 | -3.8% | -52% |
| Dubailand (Wadi Al Safa 2 / Dubailand Oasis) | Dubai | Cooling | 51.6 | 1,309 | +7.6% | -76% |
Strongest 3-month price momentum (mix-adjusted)
- Al Samhah (Abu Dhabi): +16.0% over 3 months, 39 sales
- Mirdif (Dubai): +14.1% over 3 months, 35 sales
- Saih Shuaib 1 (Dubai): +10.9% over 3 months, 57 sales
- Al Reef (Abu Dhabi): +8.5% over 3 months, 85 sales
- Al Maryah Island (Abu Dhabi): +7.7% over 3 months, 145 sales
- International City (Phase 2 & 3) (Dubai): +7.6% over 3 months, 291 sales
- Mbr District 1 (Dubai): +5.1% over 3 months, 41 sales
- Dubai Silicon Oasis (Dubai): +4.6% over 3 months, 147 sales
Related
Sources: Dubai Land Department (DLD Open Data; Dubai sales before 2026 via the CC BY 4.0 republication by Dubai Real Estate Data, dubairealestatedata.com), Ejari rent contracts, Abu Dhabi Real Estate Centre (ADREC), FRED, New York Fed, US Treasury. Residential (apartment and villa) sales only; cells with fewer than 5 sales are hidden. Information only, not investment advice. Methodology