Weekly market › 2026-W42
UAE residential market, week 2026-W42 (12 Oct – 18 Oct 2026)
Key points
- Dubai: prices -0.2% year on year (-1.1% over three months), residential sales -35% year on year (off-plan -38%, completed homes -26%); areas in correction or washout account for 19% of sales.
- Abu Dhabi: prices +7.8% year on year (+0.9% over three months), residential sales -1% year on year (off-plan +9%, completed homes -28%); areas in correction or washout account for 7% of sales.
- Off-plan apartments sell above completed ones in the same area with the same bedrooms: Dubai +36%, Abu Dhabi +29% per sq ft (last 12 months).
- Macro backdrop: tightening (pressure score 51.4/100); 3-month EIBOR 4.35%.
Areas to watch
- Living Legends (Dubai): the mix-adjusted price index is up 23.0% year on year, the largest rise among busy areas (219 sales in three months).
- Dubai Healthcare City Phase 2 (Dubai): the mix-adjusted price index is down 8.1% year on year, the largest fall among busy areas (127 sales in three months).
- International City (Phase 1) (Dubai): apartments under 50 m² yield 8.6% gross (median rent AED 30,000, median price AED 347,000), the highest among busy Dubai areas.
- Al Maryah Island (Abu Dhabi): off-plan apartments sell 12.8% below completed ones with the same bedrooms (per sq ft), the smallest gap among busy areas (new launches priced below existing homes).
- Al Layyan (Abu Dhabi): studio and 1-bed apartments yield 7.3% and 7.3% gross (ADREC published average rents and prices, 2026-09), the highest among busy Abu Dhabi areas.
By emirate
| Emirate | Areas | Price y/y | Price 3m | Sales y/y | Avg stress |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dubai | 105 | -0.2% | -1.1% | -35% | 34.8 |
| Abu Dhabi | 25 | +7.8% | +0.9% | -1% | 27.3 |
Highest market stress
| Area | Emirate | Phase | Stress | AED / sq ft | Price 3m | Sales y/y |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Al Jaddaf | Dubai | Capitulation (washout) | 63.1 | 1,791 | -9.4% | -88% |
| Dubailand (Wadi Al Safa 3) | Dubai | Correction | 59.4 | 1,609 | -9.0% | -33% |
| Jaddaf Waterfront | Dubai | Capitulation (washout) | 57.7 | 1,805 | -5.0% | -80% |
| Dubai Science Park | Dubai | Correction | 56.8 | 1,722 | -4.8% | -92% |
| Falcon City Of Wonders | Dubai | Correction | 56.0 | 1,562 | -6.8% | -78% |
| Dubai Healthcare City Phase 2 | Dubai | Capitulation (washout) | 55.4 | 1,688 | -7.9% | -54% |
| Mbr District 7 | Dubai | Correction | 53.4 | 1,596 | -13.5% | -51% |
| Dubai Investments Park | Dubai | Cooling | 53.1 | 1,480 | -1.2% | -96% |
| Dubailand Residence Complex | Dubai | Cooling | 52.7 | 1,371 | -1.3% | -45% |
| Al Satwa | Dubai | Cooling | 52.2 | 2,208 | -1.3% | -61% |
Strongest 3-month price momentum (mix-adjusted)
- Living Legends (Dubai): +9.0% over 3 months, 219 sales
- Dubai Marina (Dubai): +8.3% over 3 months, 666 sales
- International City (Phase 2 & 3) (Dubai): +7.0% over 3 months, 336 sales
- Saih Shuaib 1 (Dubai): +2.4% over 3 months, 45 sales
- Al Raha Beach (Abu Dhabi): +4.9% over 3 months, 230 sales
- Mira (Dubai): +4.0% over 3 months, 51 sales
- Fahid Island (Abu Dhabi): +3.4% over 3 months, 56 sales
- Dubai Silicon Oasis (Dubai): +3.2% over 3 months, 200 sales
Related
Sources: Dubai Land Department (DLD Open Data; Dubai sales before 2026 via the CC BY 4.0 republication by Dubai Real Estate Data, dubairealestatedata.com), Ejari rent contracts, Abu Dhabi Real Estate Centre (ADREC), FRED, New York Fed, US Treasury. Residential (apartment and villa) sales only; cells with fewer than 5 sales are hidden. Information only, not investment advice. Methodology