Weekly market › 2026-W41
UAE residential market, week 2026-W41 (5 Oct – 11 Oct 2026)
Key points
- Dubai: prices -0.2% year on year (-1.2% over three months), residential sales -36% year on year; areas in correction or washout account for 18% of sales.
- Abu Dhabi: prices +9.1% year on year (+0.8% over three months), residential sales -7% year on year; areas in correction or washout account for 7% of sales.
- Entered the washout phase (possible bottoming zone): Dubai Water Canal (Dubai), Jaddaf Waterfront (Dubai), Al Jaddaf (Dubai).
- Macro backdrop: tightening (pressure score 54.1/100); 3-month EIBOR 4.37%.
By emirate
| Emirate | Areas | Price y/y | Price 3m | Sales y/y | Avg stress |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dubai | 108 | -0.2% | -1.2% | -36% | 34.6 |
| Abu Dhabi | 25 | +9.1% | +0.8% | -7% | 29.0 |
Highest market stress
| Area | Emirate | Phase | Stress | AED / sq ft | Price 3m | Sales y/y |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Al Jaddaf | Dubai | Capitulation (washout) | 63.2 | 1,791 | -9.4% | -88% |
| Dubai Science Park | Dubai | Correction | 58.5 | 1,722 | -4.8% | -92% |
| Jaddaf Waterfront | Dubai | Capitulation (washout) | 56.6 | 1,805 | -5.0% | -80% |
| Falcon City Of Wonders | Dubai | Correction | 56.4 | 1,562 | -6.8% | -78% |
| Dubai Industrial City | Dubai | Cooling | 53.8 | 1,428 | -0.2% | -58% |
| Dubailand Residence Complex | Dubai | Cooling | 53.8 | 1,371 | -1.3% | -45% |
| Mbr District 7 | Dubai | Correction | 53.5 | 1,596 | -13.5% | -51% |
| Dubai Investments Park | Dubai | Cooling | 53.3 | 1,480 | -1.2% | -96% |
| Arabian Ranches Iii | Dubai | Correction | 52.6 | 1,819 | -11.6% | -59% |
| Al Khail Heights | Dubai | Cooling | 51.9 | 954 | -4.8% | -54% |
Strongest 3-month price momentum (mix-adjusted)
- Al Barsha (Dubai): +26.3% over 3 months, 25 sales
- Al Khibeesi (Abu Dhabi): +22.3% over 3 months, 19 sales
- Madinat Zayed (Abu Dhabi): +17.1% over 3 months, 10 sales
- Living Legends (Dubai): +9.0% over 3 months, 219 sales
- Dubai Marina (Dubai): +8.3% over 3 months, 666 sales
- International City (Phase 2 & 3) (Dubai): +6.9% over 3 months, 334 sales
- Al Raha Beach (Abu Dhabi): +5.9% over 3 months, 228 sales
- Saih Shuaib 1 (Dubai): +5.8% over 3 months, 45 sales
Alerts this week
- Dubai Water Canal (Dubai): phase Correction → Capitulation (washout), sales -37% y/y
- Jaddaf Waterfront (Dubai): phase Correction → Capitulation (washout), sales -80% y/y
- Al Jaddaf (Dubai): phase Correction → Capitulation (washout), sales -88% y/y
Sources: Dubai Land Department (DLD Open Data; Dubai sales before 2026 via the CC BY 4.0 republication by Dubai Real Estate Data, dubairealestatedata.com), Ejari rent contracts, Abu Dhabi Real Estate Centre (ADREC), FRED, New York Fed, US Treasury. Residential (apartment and villa) sales only; cells with fewer than 5 sales are hidden. Information only, not investment advice.